NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4177c9d42e46fa584647670cdfe3fa58354dbe7d9eb30937fee91fb35ebbf7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 53c | 119,947$63,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,375.29 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 94,793$44,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,626.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 20,873$8,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.07 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Raptors | 53c | 18,054$9,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,436.54 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 17,691$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,398.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers | 0c | 16,986$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Raptors | 56c | 15,806$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.78 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 52c | 13,464$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Cavaliers | 47c | 10,300$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Raptors | 52c | 9,319$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raptors | 58c | 7,539$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.11 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 37c | 7,517$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,507$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.33 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,278$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Cavaliers | 17c | 4,800$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.52 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 4,239$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +183%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 40c | 3,939$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors | 54c | 3,890$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.22 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Raptors | 53c | 3,858$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.07 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,449$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.43 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 57c | 3,390$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 52c | 3,317$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.45 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,257$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.39 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 3,218$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,105$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Raptors | 53c | 3,029$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.67 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,759$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.27 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,358$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.6 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 60c | 2,157$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raptors | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,905$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,898$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.22 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,726$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors | 56c | 1,621$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.86 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,553$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,398$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,284$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.25 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,246$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 1,239$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,215$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.78 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,191$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Raptors | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Raptors | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 48c | 985.27$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Cavaliers | 31c | 862.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 860.56$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.58 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Raptors | 52c | 828.13$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…ea67backed Cavaliers | 48c | 808.26$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.97 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers | 48c | 726.35$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers | 48c | 694.38$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Raptors | 54c | 680.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.11 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Cavaliers | 47c | 666.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.14 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 42c | 639.13$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 590.28$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 41c | 566.95$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Cavaliers | 46c | 554.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 46c | 545.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors | 63c | 534.87$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 519.48$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Cavaliers | 46c | 509.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 484.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Cavaliers | 42c | 460.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Cavaliers | 47c | 411.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Raptors | 63c | 398.37$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Raptors | 51c | 394.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Raptors | 51c | 381.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Raptors | 54c | 372.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 368.96$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Raptors | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Cavaliers | 32c | 359.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 36c | 349.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 53c | 339.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Raptors | 52c | 312.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Raptors | 59c | 298.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Cavaliers | 48c | 298.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers | 46c | 294.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Raptors | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Cavaliers | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Raptors | 53c | 283.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cavaliers | 37c | 283.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 70c | 273.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 262.38$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors | 54c | 249.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Cavaliers | 47c | 247.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Raptors | 54c | 230.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Cavaliers | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…9d98backed Raptors | 54c | 216.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 213.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Raptors | 53c | 213.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…36f9backed Raptors | 56c | 209.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…cac7backed Cavaliers | 47c | 206.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…3d77backed Cavaliers | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 203.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 203.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.