NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2b48765570dbe463adc65ea9fb6865288add83ebc1358452ca93f3df7864e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 269,661$134,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,800.12 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 50c | 228,998$114,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,498.93 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 119,999$59,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,199.46 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 63,449$31,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,724.34 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 35,415$17,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,707.4 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 24,758$12,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,379 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.88 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 14,583$7,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,291.31 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 14,274$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.03 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 13,750$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.84 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 13,592$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,932.01 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 9,600$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.01 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 51c | 8,436$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.42 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 50c | 7,674$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 6,344$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 49c | 6,060$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.56 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 4,760$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.46 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 50c | 4,268$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 4,008$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.08 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Under | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 3,650$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.18 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Over | 48c | 2,999$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 2,691$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,600$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 2,552$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 2,414$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.82 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 51c | 2,189$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.49 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 50c | 1,959$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.7 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 47c | 1,947$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.14 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 1,708$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.09 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 50c | 1,649$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.5 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 51c | 1,573$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.95 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 1,536$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.37 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 48c | 1,518$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.35 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,158$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.2 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 50c | 1,128$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 1,046$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.84 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 1,045$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,031$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.15 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…86c2backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…8a17backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 51c | 985.16$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…dd47backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 51c | 796.86$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 50c | 774.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Over | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Under | 50c | 729.44$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ff02backed Under | 50c | 668.52$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 50c | 638.26$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 605.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Under | 51c | 591.88$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 50c | 591.7$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 49c | 567.82$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.31 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 50c | 566.48$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 42c | 560.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.69 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 51c | 559.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.04 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 64c | 555.09$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.37 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 50c | 500.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 2c | 494$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 463.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 455.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 51c | 424.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 389.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 386.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 51c | 380.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 52c | 374.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 347.24$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 326.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 323.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 44c | 314.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 301.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 38c | 299.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 46c | 286.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 52c | 285.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 283.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 259.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 226.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 218.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 216.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 200.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 195.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.