TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$515,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c269,661$134,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,800.1269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over50c228,998$114,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,498.9319754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c119,999$59,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,199.461,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c63,449$31,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,724.3437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c35,415$17,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,707.429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c24,758$12,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,3791,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.8814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c14,583$7,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,291.3190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c14,274$7,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,994.0332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c13,750$7,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,005.8421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over49c13,592$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,932.0132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c9,600$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under51c8,436$4,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,302.4214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under50c7,674$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8377054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,344$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over49c6,060$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.5621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c4,760$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.4614251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over50c4,268$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1348153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under52c4,008$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under51c3,806$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.23943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c3,650$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.1856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over48c2,999$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.523345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c2,691$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,600$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,552$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.3770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c2,414$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.8216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under51c2,189$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.4914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under50c1,959$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over47c1,947$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.1493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under53c1,708$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0914640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over50c1,649$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.512649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c1,573$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.951,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under50c1,536$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.3762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over48c1,518$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.9956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under51c1,177$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3515753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c1,158$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under50c1,128$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over50c1,067$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.58148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under51c1,046$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,045$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,031$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.151,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf01a…86c2backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f63…8a17backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under51c985.16$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.4320744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4855743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4852556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Under50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.39945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.612542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under51c796.86$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.45635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over50c774.06$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.038451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Over51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.014156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf3…4918backed Under50c729.44$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35034850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc3…ff02backed Under50c668.52$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under50c638.26$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c605.73$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8650954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under51c591.88$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8612458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over50c591.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over49c567.82$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3114634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over50c566.48$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over42c560.32$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.6911639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Over51c559.27$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0415352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under64c555.09$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.3711242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c500.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under2c494$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8876054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.57150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Over51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.133246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c463.19$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c455.1$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over51c424.38$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9523650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c392.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c389.57$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1942544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c386.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.231,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c380.61$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.521354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under52c374.12$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.236261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c347.24$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c326.27$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under50c323.05$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5210059%59 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over44c314.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c301.67$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over38c299.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.974748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c286.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over52c285.66$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1618850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c283.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.993,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c259.14$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.381,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c226.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c218.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.131,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under52c216.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c200.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.071,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c195.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.