TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c16,689$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,142.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c13,596$6,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,662.171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over51c5,232$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.8125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c4,672$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over65c3,990$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over54c3,967$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c3,676$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c3,000$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3951,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under42c2,962$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.5814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under50c2,470$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.8124847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over41c1,999$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.2417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c1,906$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.572,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under45c1,898$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.221,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over56c1,743$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c1,635$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.971,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over67c1,460$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.386764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c1,126$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c1,085$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c1,076$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.522,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c999.2$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.911,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c902.37$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.772,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under49c885.88$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over56c870.96$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.244052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over55c806.58$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5510645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over51c789.11$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c774.89$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c745.09$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over49c718.89$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.518339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c710.73$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Over55c707.37$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.324953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over55c581.63$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c534.04$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under49c531.8$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3114634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under45c530.53$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c491.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2311437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c490.39$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.683,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c482.61$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c468.48$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over55c447.92$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.569652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c439.91$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.4665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c439.63$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.651,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Over56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.243246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.413750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over60c423.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.381,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over54c400.96$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c400.1$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.651,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c389.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c380.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under48c348.92$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9928949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over57c341.84$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c323.3$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1322948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c319.6$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c299.97$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c299.51$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c282.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under38c260.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over59c240.65$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.854839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over56c239.04$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c236.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Over50c230.37$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9420248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5829848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Over55c217.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.082352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over55c217.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.181,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over57c216.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under46c214.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Over56c211.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.052733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c211.31$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over55c206.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.139159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c204.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9017041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over47c199.34$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under43c198.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.145846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Under36c195.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.951931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c195.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5323445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6816555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over55c194.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1825360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under50c190.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0043…a525backed Over52c187.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.347047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under50c181.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over55c176.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.798556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.527745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over48c170.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under45c154.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under49c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.759653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under48c142.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4614464.6%93 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over56c130.89$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9624652.8%130 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under37c127.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0446959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Over48c124.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.953551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under45c124.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.973935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Over51c120.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.196155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ff8…a9c1backed Under51c114.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.232147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under43c114.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1116033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under50c113.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.354953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…5c00backed Over52c112.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2911653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.