TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x669d…f27a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$25.09
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.89
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.01
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$10.44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.42
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$11.94
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$30.36
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29.34
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$42.34
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.62
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$27.97
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.17
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.62
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$11.3
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.67
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.6
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.6
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.76
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.66
Altrincham FC vs. Gateshead FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.37
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+67%+$7.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.4
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.65
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.37
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.5
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United Jets FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$115.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.01
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)backed SC Heerenveen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)backed Colorado Rapids SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$32.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.