NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f570cf28ca0ddb70330e2dc5f76f5cf22fc95fad8b42c54f51325ad63bc2a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 10,829$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.36 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 3,224$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.8 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 55c | 3,158$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.98 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Under | 56c | 1,880$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 32c | 1,852$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Under | 57c | 1,841$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 70c | 1,410$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 69c | 1,332$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 1,315$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.6 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 37c | 1,216$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 68c | 1,207$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.53 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d95…60a6backed Under | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,008$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.11 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 39c | 928.87$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 900$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Under | 56c | 886.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 67c | 556.29$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 70c | 505.59$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 60c | 481.49$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 60c | 473.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 60c | 438.21$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 58c | 435.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 9c | 424.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 388.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.96 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 30c | 346.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 58c | 336.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…0d25backed Under | 78c | 316.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 32c | 299.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 282.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 30c | 280.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 70c | 276.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 58c | 263.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 245.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 40c | 244.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 235.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 231.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 31c | 216.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 60c | 212.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 64c | 200.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 31c | 184.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 69c | 167.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 70c | 162.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Under | 71c | 160.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 71c | 144.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 65c | 135.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 62c | 129.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 118.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Under | 67c | 117.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 57c | 114.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Over | 20c | 112.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 27c | 107.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…a2d5backed Under | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 30c | 81.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 43c | 69.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Under | 76c | 69.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 30c | 68.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 80c | 62.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…1786backed Under | 55c | 58.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 37c | 52.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 43c | 46.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 60c | 46.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 58c | 43.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Over | 29c | 42.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 71c | 42.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…0738backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 61c | 41.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 43c | 37.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over | 43c | 37.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 74c | 36.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 32c | 35.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 30.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 41c | 26.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Under | 74c | 25.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 44c | 23.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Under | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Under | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 67c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. CanadiensLightning won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.