NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c1d86e0e7209d2b3374874bb38e074fe46103b4d1653889696fc1a82139d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $948,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $948,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Lightning | 52c | 201,418$104,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,680.69 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens | 48c | 125,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Lightning | 53c | 99,677$52,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,819.3 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 51c | 40,074$20,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,636.25 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 49c | 25,523$12,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,396.76 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…edc5backed Canadiens | 55c | 22,752$12,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,468.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 50c | 22,550$11,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213.73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Canadiens | 73c | 20,408$14,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,897.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -78%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Canadiens | 48c | 19,376$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 18,010$8,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 60c | 15,046$9,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.14 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Canadiens | 48c | 14,614$7,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 49c | 13,732$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.14 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 57c | 12,866$7,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.95 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 43c | 12,433$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,111.34 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Canadiens | 48c | 12,241$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.54 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Canadiens | 52c | 12,229$6,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,316.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…5809backed Canadiens | 43c | 11,209$4,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 61c | 9,598$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.81 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Lightning | 52c | 9,343$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 48c | 9,287$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 8,725$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lightning | 52c | 7,485$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.36 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 54c | 7,318$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 46c | 7,240$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.29 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 51c | 7,082$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.6 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 53c | 6,677$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.18 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lightning | 42c | 6,507$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.81 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 65c | 5,916$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.56 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Lightning | 53c | 5,755$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Canadiens | 72c | 5,663$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 46c | 5,018$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.22 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Canadiens | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Canadiens | 60c | 4,274$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 50c | 4,212$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.73 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Canadiens | 73c | 4,100$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Canadiens | 46c | 4,072$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 78c | 4,008$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.37 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Lightning | 36c | 3,950$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Canadiens | 50c | 3,940$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 51c | 3,882$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Canadiens | 79c | 3,705$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.84 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Lightning | 53c | 3,640$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,480$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.08 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lightning | 53c | 3,478$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.09 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,472$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.1 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Lightning | 52c | 3,399$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 3,239$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.9 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Canadiens | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lightning | 26c | 2,965$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.87 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Lightning | 25c | 2,932$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.88 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,931$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.41 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,849$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.09 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,835$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.53 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Canadiens | 78c | 2,808$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lightning | 55c | 2,704$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.04 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,517$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.96 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Lightning | 53c | 2,457$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.79 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 46c | 2,416$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 51c | 2,400$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.9 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 54c | 2,223$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.55 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Lightning | 43c | 2,208$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.66 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…3c8ebacked Canadiens | 21c | 2,150$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 60c | 2,059$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Lightning | 51c | 1,998$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…e1d7backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,969$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Canadiens | 29c | 1,838$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.44 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Canadiens | 33c | 1,755$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,696$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.26 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,646$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Lightning | 57c | 1,597$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 54c | 1,591$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.05 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Canadiens | 43c | 1,585$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Lightning | 25c | 1,534$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.85 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,509$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.29 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…d4dabacked Lightning | 52c | 1,491$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Lightning | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.66 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Lightning | 51c | 1,463$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,454$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Canadiens | 21c | 1,442$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.17 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Lightning | 32c | 1,371$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.59 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lightning | 46c | 1,370$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.45 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Lightning | 16c | 1,341$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.21 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 53c | 1,325$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.25 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Lightning | 52c | 1,283$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.71 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,265$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.18 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…a008backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,223$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 52c | 1,167$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.2 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lightning | 36c | 1,134$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.45 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lightning | 53c | 1,115$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lightning | 52c | 1,106$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.71 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiensthis page
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.