NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0947dffdfbe3560f776a56938f6bd3f4a2ae30fd3267407a506303390108794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 5,969$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.92 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 55c | 3,795$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 3,537$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 45c | 3,202$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 46c | 2,492$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.62 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Under | 49c | 1,981$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.49 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,335$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 1,252$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 35c | 872.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 37c | 712.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 669.94$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 36c | 633.44$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 66c | 550.22$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 53c | 536.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 45c | 526.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…8a6abacked Over | 7c | 512.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…78adbacked Over | 56c | 502.97$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Under | 59c | 484.23$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 59c | 471.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 468.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 458.23$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 55c | 433.19$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 22c | 374.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 52c | 367.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 300.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 66c | 296.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 274.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.02 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Under | 62c | 264.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 257.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 46c | 248.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 34c | 213.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 12c | 209.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 199.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Under | 66c | 198.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 58c | 194.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 184.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…a2d5backed Under | 50c | 163.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 72c | 161.52$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Over | 55c | 160.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 156.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 63c | 151.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 66c | 146.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 80c | 125.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 27c | 120.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 41c | 115.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 50c | 106.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Under | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 61c | 100.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 43c | 98.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Under | 64c | 96.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Over | 55c | 87.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 47c | 85.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 16c | 80.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 42c | 69.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 64.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 41c | 57.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…a027backed Over | 25c | 55.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 37c | 52.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 55c | 51.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 23c | 49.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…5f49backed Over | 29c | 48.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 55c | 46.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 46c | 46.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 75c | 45.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Under | 48c | 44.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…cdc3backed Over | 72c | 41.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Under | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 55c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 46c | 38.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 44c | 37.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 48c | 36.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…94a9backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Over | 70c | 34.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Under | 45c | 34.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 41c | 31.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 55c | 30.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 55c | 29.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 41c | 27.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 24.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 19.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 66c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 57c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Lightning vs. CanadiensLightning won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.