TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c5,969$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.9241842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over55c3,795$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.092638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c3,537$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under45c3,202$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.341,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under46c2,492$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.6250049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Under49c1,981$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.499550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,335$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.461,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over53c1,252$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.332,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66076950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under35c872.28$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.673259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under37c712.31$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6831828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c669.94$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.571,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under36c633.44$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.652138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under66c550.22$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over53c536.71$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under45c526.97$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8335829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc61…8a6abacked Over7c512.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.15825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…78adbacked Over56c502.97$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Under59c484.23$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.532356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under59c471.44$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over41c468.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.21,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c458.23$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.3125449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over55c433.19$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4825345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over22c374.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.352,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over52c367.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4116235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c300.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1138147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under66c296.82$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.924254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c274.58$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Under62c264.6$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.744443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c257.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4614551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under46c248.18$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0214353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under34c213.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.793844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over12c209.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.393839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9912536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c199.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Under66c198.89$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under58c194.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2216443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c184.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3155…a2d5backed Under50c163.07$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under72c161.52$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4926750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Over55c160.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under56c156.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.923,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over63c151.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5928340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under66c146.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.414134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over23c144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9822250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Under80c125.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over27c120.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under41c115.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.158548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over50c106.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.415961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Under48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over61c100.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5360449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over43c98.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Under64c96.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Over55c87.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under47c85.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.512245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over16c80.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.911,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over42c69.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c64.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7733745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Over41c57.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.611822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9912…a027backed Over25c55.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Over37c52.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.392330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over55c51.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2217227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.242334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over23c49.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.366656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9702…5f49backed Over29c48.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under30c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5313442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over55c46.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6512045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under46c46.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7710033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over75c45.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4839751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…f6afbacked Under48c44.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.314531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over51c43.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3828847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…cdc3backed Over72c41.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Under33c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.477957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over55c40.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under46c38.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.196056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under46c38.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.796167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Over44c37.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4110260.8%62 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under48c36.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.935556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…94a9backed Over55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over70c34.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0911950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…31b5backed Under45c34.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over41c31.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.928850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Over55c30.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over55c29.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.269647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under41c27.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3116054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c24.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c19.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under66c18.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Over57c18.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.