TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x108a…517a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT5961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.19
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$26.51
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$23.66
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.09
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.39
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.67
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2520%5 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$28.47
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.65
Steelers vs. Browns: 1H O/U 16.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.58
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
49ers vs. Colts: 1H O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.67
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$50.13
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.01
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.15
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.57
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$7.52
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
Will the Bills face the Commanders in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.41
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.15
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$3.02
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-72.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.