NFL · resolved market
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe470a4c5214be85bba76e31586a6cae64d1847a0283af04ef0a9bece7fef1ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 10c | 3,501$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…b2cebacked Yes | 9c | 2,764$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 2,379$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…b67fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,251$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…15d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,771$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 11c | 1,754$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…1eeabacked Yes | 12c | 1,697$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,638$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…8cd7backed Yes | 9c | 1,477$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…22bebacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…5b3dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,394$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Yes | 7c | 1,381$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 1,371$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 10c | 1,368$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…e353backed Yes | 15c | 1,213$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…4431backed Yes | 9c | 1,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf776…5c0bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,123$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…f834backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…c575backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…4fa6backed Yes | 9c | 1,078$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…aefebacked Yes | 10c | 1,043$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…cee7backed Yes | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…0d85backed Yes | 11c | 970.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…d58bbacked Yes | 7c | 967.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Yes | 10c | 952.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…7f29backed Yes | 19c | 929.21$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ec7dbacked Yes | 9c | 927.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…952fbacked Yes | 11c | 872.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 867.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…5857backed Yes | 8c | 858.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d5d7backed Yes | 12c | 831.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…5c71backed Yes | 12c | 821.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Yes | 11c | 809.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…b9c8backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…9bc5backed Yes | 9c | 762.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…fae7backed Yes | 7c | 734.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 5c | 711$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…25a9backed Yes | 8c | 706.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…a478backed Yes | 15c | 658.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…7061backed Yes | 8c | 654.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100e…3ae1backed Yes | 8c | 643.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d16…9500backed Yes | 9c | 639.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…b7d5backed Yes | 10c | 601.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5436…7c4cbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…f341backed Yes | 9c | 599.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…d95cbacked Yes | 8c | 598.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes | 8c | 588.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…5067backed Yes | 9c | 586.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4a…b153backed Yes | 9c | 582.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…125bbacked Yes | 9c | 581.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Yes | 12c | 566.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…22efbacked Yes | 9c | 562.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…45d9backed Yes | 9c | 555.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…4697backed Yes | 6c | 550.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…83c1backed Yes | 17c | 550$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…0bb7backed Yes | 10c | 535.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 13c | 530.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…66e7backed Yes | 8c | 528.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…df9fbacked Yes | 7c | 524.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…3da0backed Yes | 9c | 522.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 9c | 521.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…624ebacked Yes | 10c | 520.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…596fbacked Yes | 10c | 516.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 8c | 512.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 20c | 509.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…4d96backed Yes | 10c | 506.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…ca4ebacked Yes | 12c | 500.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…3663backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…d94fbacked Yes | 20c | 499.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…f97abacked Yes | 12c | 491.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…3091backed Yes | 11c | 491.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 9c | 488.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Yes | 10c | 472.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yes | 9c | 466.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…feabbacked Yes | 13c | 454.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 10c | 443.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c89…47f2backed Yes | 11c | 441.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…3908backed Yes | 12c | 414.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…4facbacked Yes | 9c | 401.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…bcabbacked Yes | 9c | 401.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 9c | 388.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…7d72backed Yes | 12c | 388.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…f096backed Yes | 9c | 377.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…8c82backed Yes | 9c | 376.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…40c4backed Yes | 18c | 368.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c7…09c3backed Yes | 9c | 363.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…5293backed Yes | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0763…a8eebacked Yes | 11c | 355.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…acebbacked Yes | 9c | 352.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…0b78backed Yes | 11c | 349.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…2777backed Yes | 11c | 349.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Yes | 6c | 340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Yes | 15c | 337.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…f3bebacked Yes | 9c | 337.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…e100backed Yes | 18c | 333.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…365cbacked Yes | 9c | 329.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.