TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x179d…e18b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$129.82
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+466.6%+$93.32
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+226.8%+$81.03
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+220.9%+$44.19
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$94.14
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$132.03
Will Hillary say "Secretary" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Hillary say "Wedding" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.7%+$11.23
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.7%+$32.84
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.9%+$39.11
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$17.5
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$14.22
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+83.8%+$67.03
Martin Nowak out as Harvard professor by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+65.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$16.42
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.4%+$92.37
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hyperliquid Up or Down on February 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+68.3%+$27.3
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+525%+$141.75
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+136.4%+$78.23
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+152%+$183.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.9%+$26.86
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32%+$64.04
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Will "Bakemas" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+115.1%+$21.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+122.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.42
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80.75
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+170.7%+$51.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$114.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.1%+$286.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$108.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.