World Politics · resolved market
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd79147350a023d2aaaf26898b1981a25938fa1d3ea6b231d201618c9db16e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,133 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 15c | 13,209$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 10,031$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 31c | 4,932$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed No | 12c | 4,618$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…ed52backed No | 76c | 4,050$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…8d31backed No | 3c | 2,874$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…24d6backed Yes | 24c | 2,590$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 2,440$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 12c | 2,327$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.53 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed No | 4c | 2,085$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 19c | 2,043$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…38c2backed Yes | 24c | 1,460$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…4b8ebacked No | 17c | 1,173$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 12c | 1,116$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked No | 15c | 1,011$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…e44ebacked No | 5c | 1,005$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 66c | 952.96$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.58 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…8e67backed No | 14c | 733.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 60c | 697.46$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.26 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked No | 12c | 668.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…b527backed No | 13c | 610$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 28c | 542.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 8c | 539.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed No | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 7c | 470$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…2c34backed No | 11c | 459.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed No | 23c | 433.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed No | 11c | 406.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed No | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 8c | 303.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…fa4abacked No | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…c6e8backed No | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 5c | 296.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8680…a628backed No | 12c | 279.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04de…922abacked No | 11c | 276.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…24dcbacked No | 10c | 241.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfe…dce4backed No | 67c | 227.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…8129backed Yes | 65c | 217.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…f239backed No | 5c | 216$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 33c | 206.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…2d95backed No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…b271backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…b832backed No | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 199.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…9bffbacked No | 12c | 195.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 11c | 190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 38c | 186.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…ce3fbacked No | 13c | 175.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…c8bdbacked No | 13c | 166.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…f6fcbacked Yes | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked No | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…8307backed No | 11c | 148.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 13c | 123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…f5a9backed Yes | 64c | 118.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…d3bdbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead2…736dbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 61c | 93.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 24c | 90.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 57c | 75.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 14c | 74.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…85eebacked Yes | 76c | 65.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4163…d459backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…509dbacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…a177backed No | 67c | 50.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…55c9backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 80c | 39.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…c240backed No | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…4b5fbacked Yes | 70c | 29.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeed…3bb9backed Yes | 74c | 26.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8b…b15ebacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…33fbbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked Yes | 58c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…3cabbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…3e26backed Yes | 58c | 17.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…9495backed Yes | 68c | 16.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…f01ebacked Yes | 77c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?this page
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
- Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.