World Politics · resolved market
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca29ccd6068cbaff7b108e3b32d90699bdd1afd139fb71ec5fba5e258b05a79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf041…dde5backed No | 58c | 13,258$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,960$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.24 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked Yes | 76c | 7,540$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed No | 57c | 6,649$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 6,425$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…6306backed Yes | 25c | 5,561$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 39c | 5,390$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.06 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 71c | 4,812$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 5c | 4,477$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 12c | 3,955$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.29 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 42c | 3,487$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.84 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 45c | 2,092$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.13 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,061$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…a4d3backed Yes | 36c | 1,733$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,676$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,535$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…200cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,528$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 20c | 1,488$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 21c | 1,050$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 59c | 1,025$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.9 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 22c | 1,025$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed No | 64c | 903.36$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 27c | 900$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.94 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…5446backed Yes | 61c | 890.82$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked No | 77c | 790$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 77c | 790$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +207.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 27c | 769.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.32 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…e26bbacked No | 67c | 754.69$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…04c8backed Yes | 47c | 743.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed No | 77c | 726.67$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 50c | 634.17$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.62 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 50c | 616.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…613abacked Yes | 15c | 600$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…cb75backed Yes | 70c | 570.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 516.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +647.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 37c | 499.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 32c | 454.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 54c | 450.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 53c | 425.16$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6217…2d0bbacked Yes | 8c | 330$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 44c | 317.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 7c | 301.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…18fcbacked Yes | 18c | 282.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…4a7cbacked Yes | 41c | 278.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 10c | 270.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 30c | 268.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 7c | 258.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 60c | 257.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…fcddbacked No | 74c | 250.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 50c | 250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…e991backed No | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…3cabbacked Yes | 21c | 239.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…3e26backed Yes | 64c | 236.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…8307backed Yes | 47c | 233.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 67c | 226.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…c2b2backed Yes | 47c | 223$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 22c | 219.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked No | 35c | 216.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…e3c1backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…a5fbbacked No | 71c | 204.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…3580backed Yes | 19c | 201$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…c3b4backed Yes | 20c | 200.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…5952backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…c6e8backed No | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 62c | 179.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…caa7backed Yes | 78c | 179$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…b527backed No | 79c | 175.32$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…8129backed Yes | 44c | 171.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…88edbacked Yes | 6c | 170.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4b…a53ebacked Yes | 69c | 164.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…7427backed Yes | 13c | 147.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked No | 79c | 144.77$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Yes | 21c | 142.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…53c3backed Yes | 71c | 141.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…ca8cbacked No | 76c | 140.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 65c | 134.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a8…6661backed No | 79c | 130.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…25cbbacked Yes | 41c | 122.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 20c | 122.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed Yes | 18c | 119.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…ebccbacked Yes | 39c | 119.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…ce27backed No | 79c | 118.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 35c | 117.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…7617backed Yes | 15c | 117.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 56c | 112.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 68c | 112.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 44c | 109.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d7abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?this page
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Rachida Dati advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?No won
- Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.