TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d13…082c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT6035%21 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+498.8%+$166.6
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$45.38
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$227.1
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$88.68
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$55.87
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.2
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$112.74
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.2%+$21.65
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.55
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+106.3%+$618.51
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.98
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.76
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$205.43
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.85
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$71
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$68.77
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.23
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58.46
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$102.1
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.24
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.9
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.81
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.35
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$27.01
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$47.94
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Lima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.01
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
Williams vs. Gustafssonbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$34.51
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.25
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$29.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.