NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7aeaaae036e316c1e7e0542fa31595117dee8735ef88b3d9ceda85b1b3d1534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Lions, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,280,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,346,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,280,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,062 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5681…e113backed Chiefs | 57c | 1,000,800$570,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430,343.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 41c | 853,864$347,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347,742.86 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Lions | 43c | 600,000$258,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258,000 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Chiefs | 75c | 441,064$330,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,261.06 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lions | 42c | 220,000$92,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,800 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Chiefs | 57c | 215,306$122,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,581.69 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lions | 27c | 195,657$52,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,066.67 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lions | 15c | 119,325$18,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,237.4 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chiefs | 57c | 116,750$66,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,402.41 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chiefs | 57c | 116,106$66,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,768.78 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Chiefs | 58c | 103,448$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,448.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Chiefs | 57c | 100,009$57,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,003.86 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chiefs | 57c | 99,253$56,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,913.5 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lions | 44c | 84,238$37,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,294.08 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chiefs | 61c | 70,414$42,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,524.45 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chiefs | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,799.95 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Lions | 43c | 65,724$28,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,031.27 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Chiefs | 65c | 63,466$41,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,967.86 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Lions | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs | 55c | 59,378$32,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,597.47 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Lions | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,500 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lions | 43c | 49,237$21,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,059.93 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Lions | 24c | 44,274$10,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,464.97 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lions | 43c | 41,261$17,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,742.17 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lions | 43c | 40,042$17,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,217.92 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Lions | 43c | 39,882$17,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,149.1 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Lions | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Lions | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lions | 37c | 28,237$10,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,537.62 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lions | 16c | 28,121$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.4 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Lions | 43c | 27,691$11,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,907 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Chiefs | 56c | 27,199$15,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,900.38 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Chiefs | 56c | 26,148$14,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,415.63 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Chiefs | 51c | 25,522$13,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,394.78 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chiefs | 58c | 24,138$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137.93 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Chiefs | 55c | 23,494$12,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,572.5 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Lions | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Lions | 43c | 22,500$9,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,675 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 41c | 21,225$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,730.34 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Lions | 43c | 20,100$8,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,643 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chiefs | 64c | 20,100$12,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.99 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Chiefs | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.98 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lions | 34c | 18,396$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.55 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 46c | 18,321$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.8 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Lions | 43c | 18,110$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…6618backed Lions | 46c | 17,870$8,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…8aa5backed Chiefs | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Chiefs | 58c | 17,234$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,238.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chiefs | 55c | 16,529$9,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,417.07 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chiefs | 57c | 15,550$8,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,686.48 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Chiefs | 57c | 15,352$8,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,606.33 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Chiefs | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.99 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Lions | 43c | 14,990$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Lions | 24c | 14,888$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Chiefs | 56c | 14,671$8,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.02 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lions | 36c | 14,213$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.9 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chiefs | 54c | 13,127$7,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.14 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Lions | 45c | 13,000$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Lions | 51c | 11,700$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -8.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Chiefs | 56c | 11,430$6,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.16 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lions | 17c | 10,167$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.68 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…05d3backed Lions | 45c | 10,060$4,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lions | 43c | 10,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Chiefs | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Lions | 30c | 9,949$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Chiefs | 56c | 9,929$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.85 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Chiefs | 56c | 9,864$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.83 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…b19dbacked Lions | 44c | 9,617$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Chiefs | 59c | 9,187$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Chiefs | 55c | 9,080$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lions | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c38dbacked Lions | 46c | 8,800$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d11…f279backed Chiefs | 57c | 8,800$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…0053backed Chiefs | 56c | 8,600$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Chiefs | 58c | 8,276$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.86 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chiefs | 64c | 7,607$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.35 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Chiefs | 77c | 7,582$5,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.09 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Chiefs | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1f…c961backed Chiefs | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Chiefs | 54c | 7,405$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.41 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lions | 38c | 7,383$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chiefs | 55c | 7,016$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.95 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Chiefs | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lions | 1c | 6,738$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…c5eabacked Lions | 44c | 6,700$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chiefs | 56c | 6,641$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chiefs | 58c | 6,414$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.79 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chiefs | 66c | 6,339$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.26 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Lions | 43c | 6,283$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.09 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Chiefs | 58c | 6,167$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.65 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Chiefs | 58c | 6,078$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Chiefs | 53c | 6,007$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.84 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Lions | 47c | 6,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.36 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Lions | 43c | 5,956$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Lions | 42c | 5,933$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.85 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…72dbbacked Lions | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chiefs | 56c | 5,687$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.28 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Lions | 46c | 5,434$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.64 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Chiefs | 66c | 5,356$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.42 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Chiefsthis page
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5Under won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5Under won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.