NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a505a02ef97fcf711bf0b33d56823a3dc82589fcf072738d84cd18e9053042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 67,636$37,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,184.84 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 49c | 61,484$29,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,842 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 50c | 54,665$27,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,336.07 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 51,419$26,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,277.15 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Over | 45c | 31,361$14,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,112.45 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 55c | 19,993$10,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,996.96 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Over | 44c | 18,943$8,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,335.47 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 50c | 14,538$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.05 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Under | 50c | 14,270$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 54c | 13,861$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,376.24 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 12,263$6,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590.3 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 8,504$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.2 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 49c | 8,230$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Over | 45c | 8,185$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.19 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Over | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 7,289$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.83 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 51c | 3,476$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.98 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Over | 44c | 2,913$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.72 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Over | 45c | 2,715$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 20c | 1,823$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.31 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Over | 47c | 1,725$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.98 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 52c | 1,227$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Over | 50c | 1,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Over | 50c | 1,039$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.51 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 49c | 810$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb356…0027backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…bd99backed Under | 51c | 790$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Under | 52c | 762.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.53 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 50c | 601.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 53c | 545.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Over | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 47c | 493$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 51c | 455$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Under | 54c | 418.52$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.52 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 53c | 321$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…3339backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…84d9backed Over | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…560cbacked Over | 50c | 274$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…0968backed Over | 50c | 273$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…3003backed Over | 50c | 269$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…4b3abacked Over | 50c | 263$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 260$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…ecd7backed Over | 50c | 259$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…3ffabacked Over | 47c | 196.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 54c | 184.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 54c | 158.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…64d1backed Over | 46c | 116.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 54c | 115.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…a046backed Under | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Over | 46c | 109.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 47c | 102.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Under | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Over | 51c | 68.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…2916backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…34e8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…de63backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 52.5this page
- Lions vs. ChiefsChiefs won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5Under won
- Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)Chiefs won
- Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)Chiefs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.