TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7555…ce17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST9348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+2,795.3%+$2,795.34
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+203%+$121.82
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$73.33
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$73.33
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$120
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST4841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+103.6%+$62.17
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$70.43
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+316.7%+$76
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+478.5%+$95.71
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$67.66
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$180
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.32
Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+244.8%+$97.93
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC København win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+132.6%+$79.53
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.