Champions League · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9696eac9c7513d62f4da136ea7714389da0808f4367521f824c530192bc30dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 0c | 72,224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 17c | 8,594$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.65 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 5,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,147$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.22 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 15c | 2,751$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,568$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.89 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…37a4backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,096$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fb63backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,837$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 1,767$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 6c | 1,630$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 998.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 9c | 768.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 16c | 621$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 18c | 590$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 19c | 452.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 15c | 450$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 18c | 425$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +152.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 13c | 347.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 12c | 336.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 13c | 316.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 309.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…23bcbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…f11abacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…f4f0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 247$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…920cbacked Yes | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +8.6wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Yes | 15c | 219.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 11c | 217.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 207$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…f8e2backed Yes | 10c | 205$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…9bb1backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 11c | 175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…3e69backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620c…28f9backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…014cbacked Yes | 18c | 148.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…47f0backed Yes | 19c | 142.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…ab6fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…4bf8backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 19c | 125.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 18c | 107.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 15c | 101.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…fa2fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes | 17c | 98.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…1ac2backed Yes | 19c | 85.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 18c | 73.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…7937backed Yes | 17c | 68.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…ba2abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…7154backed Yes | 18c | 58.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.