TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca5a…7e43backed Yes61c105,025$63,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,597.06825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No39c97,829$38,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,675.453951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c63,726$26,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,252.921,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No39c50,700$19,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,92710443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,5007060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes61c48,408$29,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,580.869146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c30,000$11,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,349.8617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Yes61c25,750$15,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,707.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c20,049$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,148.139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c16,050$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,619.4815442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes61c14,980$9,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,106.473545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No41c12,473$5,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,359.178836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Yes61c11,999$7,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,319.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-88.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No58c10,876$6,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.621513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No40c9,999$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.658040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No41c9,668$3,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.2614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No39c7,800$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.1110051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No43c6,553$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.897052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No38c5,860$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.983262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes58c5,571$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.8816136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Yes32c5,563$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf532…70eabacked Yes60c5,097$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes60c5,000$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.979348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9620948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No55c4,391$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.264949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…51a3backed Yes63c3,646$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No39c3,600$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.9818160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No39c3,285$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.618241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes61c3,279$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No44c3,092$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.510850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No39c3,000$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7708938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c2,909$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.5958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No40c2,575$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.7714235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes41c2,320$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.3638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes60c2,295$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0761…d1d6backed Yes58c2,220$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No38c2,100$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.9319028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9722147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes58c1,926$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.3316349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No39c1,910$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.614044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c1,846$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.241,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes39c1,809$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.479336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7915…f32fbacked Yes60c1,752$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes60c1,710$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.072626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Yes62c1,608$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…e01fbacked No40c1,600$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes62c1,585$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.71540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed No42c1,500$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.735038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes13c1,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0912737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes38c1,471$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.83256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c8…8272backed No40c1,400$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8997…c3bdbacked Yes61c1,311$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes60c1,298$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes62c1,293$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da0…372dbacked No40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.261070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6104052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes40c978.48$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.533633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes45c893.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No40c834.99$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes63c810.24$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.453357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes62c804.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002045%9 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48811735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4881330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes64c786.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No38c766.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.785335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.52623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c746.22$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.0335860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No38c736.46$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.9718250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No38c676.91$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6811950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes60c675$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4059142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Yes60c659.65$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.791060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…e881backed Yes61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1313…e5f7backed Yes61c600.18$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36619755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes38c578.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c573.4$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes62c568.5$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes32c562.5$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.152133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed No38c520.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes59c506.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes62c458.31$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c444$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes51c441.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252030%6 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes32c440.63$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14150%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.