TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71f6…d12f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3240.6%13 W · 19 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick64cpaid-37.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$123.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$160.64
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+68.4%+$44.42
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$175.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$172.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$53.69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,873.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000.17
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$708.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120.78
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$10.81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$106.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$25.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+49.3%+$31.52
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$208.97
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$665.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,195.42
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$49.87
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$499.19
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$499.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$605.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$121.32
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$36.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Atletico Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$12.33
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.01
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+185.7%+$84.85
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.9%+$26.17
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$55.68
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.93
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$45.34
All 7 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+434.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+809.1%+$4,044.89
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,549Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+60.7%+$7,006.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$36.98
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$757.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.12
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+41%+$14.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.6%+$127.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.