Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8e89a895ebeb402136a7c789caf88f1037f34a6dff1b9d17eadbf6e973b8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 14,482$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 12,769$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 11,145$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.89 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,656$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 73c | 4,424$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 51c | 3,999$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.77 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 3,271$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.6 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 78c | 3,219$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 74c | 2,522$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.45 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 2,036$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 24c | 1,362$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.02 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 1,333$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.46 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 73c | 1,250$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 800.22$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.46 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…eab4backed Yes | 75c | 646.67$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 42c | 613.64$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 78c | 596.08$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 58c | 571.36$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 554.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 544.9$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.19 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 24c | 515.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 461.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.76 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 44c | 453.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 57c | 404.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 392$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 73c | 341.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 4c | 299.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3b…05cfbacked Yes | 50c | 285.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…fd1bbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 49c | 263.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7a3ebacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e89dbacked No | 57c | 231.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 76c | 228.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…5828backed No | 74c | 228.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 78c | 204.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 74c | 186.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…3560backed No | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 169.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 36c | 151.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 47c | 147.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 142.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 52c | 142.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…9822backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 135.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 58c | 133.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…db15backed No | 49c | 133.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…443abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 128.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 28c | 106.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed No | 75c | 102.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d17…069abacked Yes | 26c | 101$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…9973backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 75c | 93.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 57c | 78.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 75c | 75.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…1c09backed Yes | 74c | 67.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 20c | 64.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 58.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 78c | 56.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…50d5backed Yes | 25c | 54.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…5adcbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…c4e7backed Yes | 78c | 50.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 28c | 41.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…a2eabacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…b0b7backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 75c | 37.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.