Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e4c07daeea911d5a4d657b968a1e91850f68e61d7449a0243aff1dfab98129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 48c | 129,394$61,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,752.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 73,610$43,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,863.52 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 48c | 29,130$13,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,982.43 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 28,869$18,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,648.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 20,753$11,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,723.9 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 47c | 19,235$9,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,053.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 52c | 19,048$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.71 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 68c | 12,385$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.86 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 51c | 11,361$5,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 10,614$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.59 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 10,154$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 9,925$5,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.15 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 52c | 9,891$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 8,449$4,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.87 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 9c | 7,179$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,530$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 48c | 4,156$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.95 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 54c | 3,587$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.17 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 3,392$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.22 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 46c | 2,549$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.03 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 50c | 2,206$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 50c | 2,201$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 47c | 2,171$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 52c | 1,904$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.49 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 1,902$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.03 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 1,824$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.07 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 1,700$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,610$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 25c | 1,400$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 1,312$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.53 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 49c | 1,133$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,103$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,046$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 51c | 988$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 49c | 965.65$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 18c | 963.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 30c | 930$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +80%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 899.98$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 53c | 874.36$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.65 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 47c | 862.13$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 26c | 844.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 789.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 48c | 773.95$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 47c | 750.54$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 746$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.62 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 24c | 664.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 660.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.26 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Yes | 48c | 626.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 16c | 614.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 13c | 600.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 50c | 571$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 52c | 526$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 48c | 515$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 506.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.04 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 71c | 502.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…dc26backed Yes | 31c | 479.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 458$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 49c | 448.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 47c | 440$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 38c | 426.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 76c | 392.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 46c | 355.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 20c | 343.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 47c | 335.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d6abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 311.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 303$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 31c | 278$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…669bbacked Yes | 52c | 263.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 47c | 256.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 16c | 255.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.