TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d11…c34d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 61 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.9
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$36.8
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$103.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$39.02
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$32.8
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$193.9
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$93.85
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Brighton vs. West Ham: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$101.1
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203%+$207.7
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+37%+$108
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+140.2%+$420.69
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54.9
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$138.6
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$205.16
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$161.8
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+509.7%+$56.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$24.2
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.5%+$104.84
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+90.5%+$23.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.07
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$37.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$46.2
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.6%+$51.76
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$117.5
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$151.9
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$133.2
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$107.6
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$36.4
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$56.23
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will NEC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.1
Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+262.2%+$118.23
Will FC Famalicão vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+98%+$198
Will Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$147.3
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+157.3%+$232.3
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$321.6
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$365.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.8%+$26.56
Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$79.5
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$120.6
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+71.5%+$18.14
Will VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$44.1
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+157%+$114.06
Will Hannover 96 win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+316.7%+$106.39
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+41.8%+$44.2
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.8%+$49.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+41.2%+$297.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+36.1%+$95.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+111%+$236.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$338.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+31.8%+$106.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,321.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+46.2%+$644.03
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.59
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+42.2%+$245.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$37.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+31%+$71
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.4%+$41.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$267.25
Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$155
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+51.1%+$84.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.9%+$364.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$36.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Team Liquid (BO1)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.