TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No37c40,064$14,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,645.7110752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c36,644$20,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,674.461,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes73c10,272$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes53c7,928$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No42c7,909$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.5137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c7,006$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes64c3,680$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c2,827$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.6762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c2,725$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes29c2,629$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.41421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes71c2,222$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.381553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No25c2,039$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.034468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes58c1,887$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.429348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes53c1,869$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No43c1,500$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.854131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c1,168$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.314346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c1,061$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9214337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes59c1,019$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.872045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No59c1,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.0211735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed No49c957.67$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c796.99$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No69c775.95$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Yes75c740.88$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes28c739.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes53c641.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes27c641$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.939156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes61c509.35$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8226040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c495.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.846342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No73c460.4$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3323151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c435.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4433938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes27c403.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes46c394.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21315071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c362.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.96147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes66c358.94$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes56c357.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dea…1f52backed Yes29c346.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No72c321.66$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.616644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No72c317.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.367549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No37c311$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4712343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Yes55c309.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…a4ddbacked Yes60c276.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fb…0a53backed Yes49c273.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes39c253.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.212650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes65c240.64$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed No52c214.9$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked No30c210$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No49c204.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa52…85b7backed No61c204.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No50c199.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c5…1f64backed Yes54c196.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No52c195.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.732157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c189.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5931049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes50c180.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.391136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes28c168.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.658333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…4155backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes29c154.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.212055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed Yes52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+111.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes63c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked Yes71c145.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+152.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No49c144.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No37c139.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.417252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x438c…481abacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Yes60c120.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes60c117.42$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No27c116.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.212326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5270backed Yes27c107.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes28c106.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.371947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc995…25c2backed No48c103.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes61c100.73$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…5602backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaadd…637dbacked Yes66c92.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes56c87.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.216854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No46c85.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes61c82.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…12cebacked Yes56c81.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Yes59c81.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No45c78.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes31c77.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.369858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.