Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7bcb7be57ebd094f2e71f3c280244190f6d773af40bdbd48d1c8a33a656ce11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,694$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 68c | 2,034$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.9 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,394$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.16 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 67c | 1,381$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 12c | 1,241$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 1,138$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 75c | 965.55$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 893.04$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 34c | 731.35$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 691.08$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 665.63$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 520.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 495.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 481.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 75c | 470.59$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 435.14$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 76c | 325$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916e…443cbacked Yes | 38c | 319.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 298.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 238.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 71c | 223.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…7af0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 181$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 75c | 179.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 27c | 149.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 123$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 102.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…1f52backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 91.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 68c | 78.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 75.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Yes | 30c | 65.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 75c | 44.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 40.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 70c | 39.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 28c | 38.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 33c | 31.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 77cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 74c | 24.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.