TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$314,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No52c90,188$47,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,868.158447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c28,068$13,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,341.2714337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No53c26,580$14,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,569.692128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No53c25,000$13,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,749.998944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes49c18,372$9,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,002.281650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes47c17,422$8,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.551010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-80%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c14,767$6,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,306.571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c11,202$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.6724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No61c10,416$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040.7110752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No54c7,950$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+120.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes43c7,778$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes47c7,093$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e9…d516backed Yes48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c5,420$2,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.971,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes46c4,961$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.992365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.976648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8567…514cbacked Yes48c3,729$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes47c3,590$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.3723151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c3,515$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes47c3,410$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.1831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No65c3,352$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.6637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf667…3463backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes19c2,457$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes19c2,431$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.31421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes48c2,288$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes49c2,227$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes44c2,114$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.291136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.961625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes26c1,900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes46c1,742$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.259858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c1,673$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.524642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No57c1,483$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.422441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes35c1,425$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes46c1,342$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2211355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes46c988.72$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.699348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c873.29$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9123153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes48c852.02$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3927549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No51c776.96$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.711957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No56c667.13$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.544468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No51c656.04$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes38c654.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes45c622.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes48c497.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No53c481.13$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c454.34$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes47c440$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes35c425.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c410.59$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes49c310.42$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b16…7af0backed Yes48c308.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14110948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbeb…5d4dbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6970%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Yes21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No69c292$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.59355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes49c230.61$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x203e…a9b5backed Yes36c223.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Yes19c222.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed No55c216.22$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993e…8ee9backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No56c202.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9827244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes20c189.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No57c185.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes26c151.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.53630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes34c132.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0415…6576backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…479dbacked Yes48c118.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.426660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.