TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd96…479d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.91
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.03
São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$59.93
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.5
Club León FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.71
Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+56.4%+$73.14
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$67.69
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+68.5%+$34.23
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$87.92
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+47.1%+$65.34
Will Santos FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.3%+$38.1
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+150%+$91.34
Will Mirassol FC win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$12.3
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$95.8
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.48
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.9
Will Rangers FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$40.95
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$296.89
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$24.94
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.47
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$247.85
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+360.7%+$90.17
Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.73
FC Porto vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
AS Roma vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$24.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.86
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$62.49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$39.39
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.73
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+79.5%+$15.77
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$97.32
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$68.87
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.1
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$59.3
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.84
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$91.77
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.58
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$176.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$245.51
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.04
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.92
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$39.01
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$93.29
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.83
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$98.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$94.77
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$41.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$88.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.