Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ab501f46412c291517560c9dd120286ba5bb861f30183f9059fb417af9b92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 14c | 34,187$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,314.92 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 12,096$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.12 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 4,756$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 66c | 4,739$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.04 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,050$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,985$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 1,849$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.71 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,827$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 1,662$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 1,372$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.94 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 1,140$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…f4bbbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 999.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.68 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 21c | 966.24$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 907.79$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 23c | 873.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.48 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 801.58$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.67 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 48c | 801$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 778.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.99 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 80c | 525$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 80c | 450$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 414.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.58 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 20c | 389$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 79c | 295.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 279.15$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 229.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 13c | 228$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 21c | 195.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 53c | 191.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…a3a7backed Yes | 24c | 169.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 14c | 155$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 15c | 152.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 35c | 148.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 48c | 134.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 36c | 133.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 22c | 115.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 111.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 101.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6fb4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…e47cbacked Yes | 60c | 91.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…ed93backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…9977backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…3060backed Yes | 22c | 90.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 36c | 66.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 53.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 43.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 80c | 40.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…aa48backed Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 79c | 17.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 64c | 17.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 70c | 15.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…a538backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.