TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde9d…35f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3511.4%4 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$123.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$136.37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$91.67
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+513.5%+$83.7
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80.46
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$354.89
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$87.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$169.17
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$43.77
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$66.01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$450.72
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$278.29
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$59.02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.62
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$62.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,066.5%+$586.56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$136.84
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$91.99
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.52
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.23
Will Ecuador win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+343.3%+$85.82
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+32.1%+$6.41
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69.6%+$19.34
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+64.4%+$19.31
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+25.4%+$3.27
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+46.2%+$21.07
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33.65
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+493.7%+$64.19
Will Denmark vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.4%+$8.49
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+64.5%+$25.78
Will Liechtenstein vs. Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92%+$148.07
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$336.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.95
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+273.6%+$273.63
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Utrecht vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+257.1%+$167.14
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will PSV win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$266.04
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$72.6
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+809.1%+$161.82
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$273.8
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed SBV Excelsior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100.9%+$51.73
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will PSV win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$199.35
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$481
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+257.1%+$360
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.82
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will PSV win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+900%+$135
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$272.29
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,944.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+81.2%+$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+34%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.6%+$4.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.