Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe300f88ea6ce7f2139b2a45a216e7c66db296b3db7fdbdfaa74eb82715f990ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.98 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 13,883$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,911.87 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 8,223$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,923.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 2,790$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.35 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 1,946$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.37 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,055$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.24 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 56c | 960$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 689.09$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.92 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 16c | 609.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 565.11$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 505$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 75c | 249.33$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 58c | 242.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…61afbacked Yes | 52c | 167.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 64c | 165$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 57c | 96.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…9b30backed Yes | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 78c | 74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 45c | 73.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Yes | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 31c | 55.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 56c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…c94dbacked Yes | 42c | 40.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 34.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…939bbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…4453backed Yes | 51c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 55c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.