TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5fc…d802

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,159.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,736.47
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.33
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.99
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.38
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.01
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.24
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.34
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$633.36
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$370
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$495
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Rangersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27.07
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiensbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$71.87
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+1,713.8%+$776.41
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$121
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$39.04
Blue Jackets vs. Jetsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+733.3%+$440
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+96.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$241.5
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Will CD Santa Clara vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$273
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+334.8%+$154
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.25
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.94
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$910
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$405
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Jets vs. Ravensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$83.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.25
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$95.98
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Game Master · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.83
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3)backed Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.33
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3)backed Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.02
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Kukuys (BO3)backed Kukuys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+398.5%+$1,360
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400%+$240
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$439.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.48
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs los kogutos (BO3)backed WOPA Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MOUZ NXT (BO3)backed ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+150.4%+$91.45
Counter-Strike: NRG vs 9INE - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ALGO Esports (BO1)backed MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs HOTU (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$291.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BC.Game Esports (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$72
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$77
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Menifield (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$105
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Horiguchi vs. Ulanbekov (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$198
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$238.25
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$111
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+481.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UMass vs. Ohiobacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.