Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193f0105a6e4d4c9d3683b01fe8987330849c3e639fad4f2bb22598c16d138ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 6,953$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.62 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed REKONIX | 33c | 2,496$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Team Nemesis | 3c | 2,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked REKONIX | 49c | 1,879$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.86 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,412$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.8 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked REKONIX | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 31c | 712.77$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked REKONIX | 37c | 622$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked REKONIX | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 52c | 333$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed REKONIX | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 7c | 191.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 160.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 54c | 147.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked REKONIX | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 43c | 87.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked REKONIX | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed REKONIX | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed REKONIX | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5f16backed REKONIX | 39c | 53.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed REKONIX | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed REKONIX | 45c | 44.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked REKONIX | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…248ebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)REKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.