Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44cc4f15a3071f0c93e16a739509240864b1e5f004900a705bdfce2074e06582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Team Nemesis, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked REKONIX | 51c | 20,867$10,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 14,200$8,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,803.98 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 8,198$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed REKONIX | 38c | 7,210$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.28 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 6,608$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.27 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…bb31backed REKONIX | 63c | 2,942$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 2,023$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,750$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.77 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,187$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.09 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 1,050$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 902.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 775.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 38c | 650.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…b9c8backed Team Nemesis | 5c | 536.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 521.43$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.71 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 519.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked REKONIX | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 38c | 483.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 331.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 331.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed REKONIX | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 275.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed REKONIX | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…9f9bbacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 261.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 239.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed REKONIX | 72c | 174.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX | 30c | 150.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 149.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 147.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 145$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…3cd1backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 139.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 135.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 31c | 127.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed REKONIX | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed REKONIX | 62c | 88.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked REKONIX | 64c | 62.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ba…d310backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 57.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 56.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked REKONIX | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed REKONIX | 72c | 36.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 31.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed REKONIX | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed REKONIX | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed REKONIX | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed REKONIX | 38c | 27.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…ba2fbacked REKONIX | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.