TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ba9…2cca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+55.4%+$22.17
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.86
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+52.2%+$33.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$164.63
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+45.8%+$8.71
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+101.3%+$78.46
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+39.4%+$172.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$238.24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+41.1%+$90.34
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+69.2%+$352.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$118.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$86.1
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+37%+$66.23
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$59.15
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$7.19
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.1%+$14.94
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+45.4%+$9.07
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$716.66
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+71.7%+$211.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.57
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.1%+$11.63
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$16.09
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.76
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$22.82
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+260.7%+$142.25
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.35
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.41
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.65
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$90.41
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+59.5%+$107.34
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$447.16
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.16
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$324.48
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.61
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$30.88
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$138.18
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.2%+$24.5
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$800.28
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+32.7%+$54.69
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Kings vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+46.5%+$11.62
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+25.8%+$62.56
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$61.9
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400.11
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs los kogutos (BO3)backed los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.5%+$9.51
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Fingers Crossed (BO1)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31%+$7.76
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs SINQU (BO1)backed MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Novaq (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.37
Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Omega (BO3)backed Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.35
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)backed ex-GANK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33.36
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Rare Atom (BO5)backed Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.7%+$16.55
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Truck Drivers (BO3)backed Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.47
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.71
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs Voca (BO3)backed Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25.7%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$24.24
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+36.3%+$117.68
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$665.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.23
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.9%+$31.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.