Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188fb988fbdc9d0c19b87b7aa014a283ba2000961fcdf1ffe0b41f34aa2d58a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked OG | 65c | 6,500$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 5,674$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 5,577$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed OG | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked OG | 64c | 5,056$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 3,404$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.28 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked OG | 65c | 3,050$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,676$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,610$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 2,561$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.24 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,331$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.58 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked OG | 67c | 2,108$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.61 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…de06backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 2,030$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…39cabacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,030$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,971$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG | 66c | 1,919$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.42 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,811$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked OG | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,314$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 1,226$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 69c | 1,210$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,160$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…84fdbacked OG | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…269bbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed OG | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 996$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed OG | 65c | 980.45$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.16 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 949.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 884.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 858.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…1cabbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 856$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d8b8backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 833$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 748.48$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed OG | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked OG | 69c | 726.15$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…0fa4backed OG | 66c | 710$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 63c | 694.89$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…3131backed OG | 67c | 690$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…8b5abacked OG | 67c | 680$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…9c04backed OG | 66c | 675$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 68c | 674.18$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…12bdbacked OG | 67c | 660$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…3f80backed OG | 66c | 645$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 67c | 597.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 579.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 559.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 549.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…d593backed OG | 66c | 541$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…907abacked OG | 67c | 534$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 528.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 514.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 493.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 491.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…87d7backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 488$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…6c06backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 481.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked OG | 64c | 462.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…f3e3backed OG | 66c | 443$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked OG | 65c | 433.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 431.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 427.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 424.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 424.16$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…f1a6backed OG | 66c | 390$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…1b1abacked OG | 65c | 389$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 380$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 369.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 340.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…b288backed OG | 67c | 340$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…b357backed OG | 67c | 322$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked OG | 66c | 319.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 78c | 315.4$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed OG | 66c | 315$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked OG | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…7069backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…0492backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 296$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed OG | 68c | 292.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 268.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…d208backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 245$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked OG | 66c | 228.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 222.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed OG | 67c | 221.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 210.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 74c | 210.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked OG | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked OG | 74c | 186.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…9886backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 183$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 182.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.