Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37b9ed65aa2cdc9160b9f6cd7b6bd276dd9c676baae8f1037ef65cea0197c045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 9,010$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.2 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 53c | 8,002$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 4,030$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.45 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,982$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.16 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 3,861$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 3,729$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed OG | 72c | 3,482$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.88 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed OG | 77c | 3,075$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.05 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked OG | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 53c | 2,993$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.28 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 51c | 2,757$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 2,397$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG | 49c | 2,235$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.85 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 58c | 1,873$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.59 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked OG | 58c | 1,842$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.58 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked OG | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,472$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.05 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,439$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 58c | 1,366$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.06 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked OG | 72c | 1,272$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.39 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,237$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed OG | 74c | 1,116$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed OG | 66c | 946.43$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 946.43$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed OG | 45c | 919.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked OG | 54c | 797.49$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked OG | 46c | 756.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.82 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked OG | 76c | 674.61$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed OG | 50c | 673.43$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 610.38$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked OG | 72c | 592.47$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked OG | 54c | 556.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 529.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed OG | 65c | 508.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked OG | 79c | 496.27$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed OG | 66c | 452.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 430$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked OG | 79c | 292.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed OG | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed OG | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed OG | 79c | 217$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…7069backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG | 68c | 140.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed OG | 75c | 139.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…5d84backed OG | 74c | 133.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked OG | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…b031backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 125.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 119.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked OG | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed OG | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed OG | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 86.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed OG | 78c | 70.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed OG | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked OG | 67c | 64.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed OG | 50c | 62.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed OG | 54c | 58.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked OG | 54c | 57.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed OG | 52c | 55.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 52.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 50.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…47fdbacked OG | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed OG | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed OG | 74c | 47.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…c5c8backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 39.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked OG | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed OG | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed OG | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked OG | 53c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.