TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9798…12d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT7546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$241.55
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$183.87
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$105.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$635
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+98%+$414.95
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+82%+$81.96
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.9%+$382.59
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE - Map 1 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.06
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+120%+$120.04
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$207.14
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$812.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.1%+$93.2
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.4%+$92.38
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+89.2%+$89.23
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.9%+$66.87
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+84.6%+$169.18
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.9%+$62.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.1%+$156.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$51.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$35.92
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+45%+$44.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.