TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under45c72,738$32,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,579.1116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over55c32,888$18,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,799.955658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c21,835$11,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,855.96,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over56c16,042$8,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,058.4828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Under46c15,094$6,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,943.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7506857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Over56c13,500$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over56c4,999$2,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c4,035$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.0785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c3,160$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.9775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under47c2,553$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Over56c2,143$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.863938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c2,028$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.1252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,612$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.522,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over55c1,590$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7896…5a86backed Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over54c1,088$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4814166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c961$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.6772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Over68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c496.23$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over66c366.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over55c309.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0917053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over54c308$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.685650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c289.51$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7916357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c270.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6519441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under46c265.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0113152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3214551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11574056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under57c242.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1385438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over55c190.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11a8…6b03backed Under58c189.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over53c185$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5225052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over54c181.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over56c178.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.542356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c176.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1316548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over54c142.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.691553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2068…e0e7backed Over71c127.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under53c122.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over53c114$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5813954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over55c107.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c106.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.241,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4137554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c99.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.974,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over53c98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1424146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5914431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Over56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.492825%7 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over54c89.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.032878.6%22 W · 6 L+9.9wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+108.5%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Over54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.266240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.616251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.255254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9235743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under27c76.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over57c74.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.275444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under45c73.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.439246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over54c66.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.695058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over55c65.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.731,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under48c62.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.625553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6737958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+31%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over54c44.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over50c44.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea6…00f2backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7817138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.420143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under29c37.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0421043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.366361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c36.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6972658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99c3…c8b4backed Over55c34.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over53c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3811549.6%57 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4b…f43abacked Under45c32.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47a…9e6dbacked Over56c31.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Under45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6594…dc84backed Under45c30.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c30.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6220758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.