Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7ab05e192c6c10e37497c84236646eb966a83291b9ad3e74d11a2ccf3a0da2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 3c | 2,418$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 43c | 2,317$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,374$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.69 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…5a86backed Under | 43c | 1,056$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,015$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 6c | 899.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 801.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.26 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 73c | 501.07$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.63 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 51c | 478.45$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 17c | 398$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Under | 10c | 398$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 43c | 334.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 57c | 307.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 40c | 269.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 39c | 256.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 20c | 247.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 10c | 229.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Under | 59c | 220.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 187.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 20c | 146.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…ff29backed Over | 18c | 72.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 51c | 58.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…856dbacked Under | 44c | 57.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Under | 66c | 45.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…3500backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 52c | 32.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 28.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…3146backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 25.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…4114backed Under | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Over | 50c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 17.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.