TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d9…3146

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$37.77
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$30.25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+1,165.8%+$233.16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+551%+$105.3
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+1,038.8%+$353.18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$8.81
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$16.73
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.16
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Norway vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.33
France vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+36%+$7.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.38
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.08
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.64
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.42
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$10.39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.71
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.73
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$5.57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.71
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.84
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$22.37
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
First Blood in Game 3?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.37
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.