Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c52396167cf742bc8edd46e06df5b29dc72483fc02806b1a45bf41e2ee6a579

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $484,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $412,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	14,968$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,832.49	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	12c	11,164$1,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.83	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	4c	9,074$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,707.09	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	40c	7,253$2,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,870.92	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	16c	6,390$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,380.57	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	23c	6,161$1,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,743.94	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed No	19c	5,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.12	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f1…078abacked Yes	17c	4,921$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,100.56	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	70c	4,657$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250.03	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	4,629$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,110.56	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	17c	4,346$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.17	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes	26c	4,308$1,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,178.33	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	76c	4,278$3,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.87	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	30c	3,943$1,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,747.97	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	56c	3,877$2,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,170.78	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	6c	3,489$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,292.5	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	45c	3,450$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.08	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	23c	3,365$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600.84	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	3,355$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,143.79	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	24c	3,337$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,551.5	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	2,752$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.8	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	21c	2,750$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.88	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	11c	2,722$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,421.49	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	16c	2,548$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,148.9	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,500$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,369.92	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	12c	2,469$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.11	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	16c	2,339$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.47	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	6c	2,300$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,167.83	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	53c	2,277$1,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.62	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	10c	2,230$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,018.12	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	74c	2,219$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,644.36	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	11c	2,126$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.9	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	12c	2,083$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.2	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No	23c	2,000$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	15c	1,976$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.42	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	71c	1,927$1,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.36	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	1,900$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.54	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	16c	1,853$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.57	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	14c	1,852$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.25	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	29c	1,773$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.99	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	72c	1,765$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.93	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	16c	1,760$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.37	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	4c	1,727$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.74	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a0…9342backed Yes	20c	1,576$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.54	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	15c	1,537$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.98	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c5…e133backed Yes	40c	1,515$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.7	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	24c	1,493$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.07	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	9c	1,400$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.21	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	1,400$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.89	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	57c	1,367$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.75	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	12c	1,345$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.6	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	12c	1,313$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.54	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes	5c	1,238$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.49	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	17c	1,160$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.84	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	1,151$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,028.02	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	16c	1,120$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.02	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,096$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.8	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	36c	1,081$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.28	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	34c	1,048$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.55	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	19c	1,015$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.03	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	5c	1,009$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958.65	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	76c	1,008$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.54	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Yes	29c	1,004$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	8c	1,002$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.92	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked No	78c	1,000$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	12c	997.59$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.83	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	22c	972.98$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.52	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1156…5eb4backed Yes	78c	949.66$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.04	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	20c	934.45$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.45	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked No	43c	934$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.76	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	34c	933.97$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.25	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	79c	923.03$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.09	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce2…d913backed Yes	28c	894.17$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	851.64$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.18	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Yes	20c	834.89$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.09	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	8c	832.48$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.32	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	14c	830.97$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.97	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	31c	790.24$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.39	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	784.37$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.15	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	6c	782.76$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.53	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	10c	757.26$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.77	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	25c	756.81$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.95	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	63c	745.86$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.92	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	32c	745.47$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.86	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No	10c	729.9$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	8c	716.56$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.56	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No	20c	712.93$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.11	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…0d4ebacked No	34c	705.34$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.98	140	50%70 W · 70 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	76c	700$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	13c	699.22$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.88	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	38c	695.54$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.81	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	25c	689.07$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.72	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No	5c	688.6$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	43c	684.82$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.98	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	16c	675.06$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.95	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Yes	65c	674.38$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.65	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	57c	670$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.82	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	76c	657$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.32	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	8c	650$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.72	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event