Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f68e78932259897cc3297894752e5559b0acca375dd331207761d8c79f47f0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $318,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $228,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	7,320$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	0c	6,754$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.98	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	12c	6,413$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.38	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	5,495$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.44	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	10c	5,108$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.82	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	5c	4,985$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.25	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	26c	4,426$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.03	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	46c	4,394$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.02	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	36c	4,251$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.88	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	8c	3,582$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.97	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	30c	3,511$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.14	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	3,200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	17c	3,124$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.47	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	3,000$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	24c	2,805$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	28c	2,780$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.32	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	29c	2,765$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.02	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	62c	2,634$1,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.42	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	21c	2,535$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.94	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	15c	2,501$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.43	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	16c	2,500$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.34	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	26c	2,394$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.27	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	25c	2,277$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.07	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	15c	2,167$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.39	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	21c	2,105$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.07	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	73c	1,984$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.56	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	1,921$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.43	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37fb…3f5cbacked No	68c	1,917$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	8c	1,887$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.8	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	1,740$1,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.6	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	18c	1,732$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.75	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	26c	1,700$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	34c	1,655$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.38	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	3c	1,611$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	69c	1,600$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.57	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	22c	1,585$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.36	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	17c	1,543$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.57	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	28c	1,537$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.35	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	14c	1,506$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.52	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	31c	1,331$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.14	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	5c	1,313$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	8c	1,175$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.16	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	13c	1,126$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.51	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	31c	1,100$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.56	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	1,100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe13…8b9cbacked Yes	14c	1,047$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.68	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes	21c	1,045$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.55	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	13c	1,010$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.3	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Yes	53c	1,001$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	22c	973.86$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.67	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	905.49$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.55	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd160…5ffebacked Yes	18c	905.27$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.27	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	22c	904.29$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	37c	899.99$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	5c	873.65$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…5fadbacked Yes	59c	849.35$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	8c	829.64$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.03	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	73c	829.01$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.61	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x621e…b532backed Yes	37c	808.21$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.12	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	26c	799.91$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.34	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	21c	781.63$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	77c	772.1$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.42	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	70c	766.79$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.4	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	68c	758.07$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.08	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	22c	758$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	7c	750$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde69…9646backed Yes	16c	742.08$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee2d…a84fbacked Yes	14c	721$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes	15c	691.16$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.77	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	17c	684.12$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.1	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	40c	671.6$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.64	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	21c	670.16$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	73c	670$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.58	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	23c	660.3$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	9c	650.82$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.7	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	23c	643.32$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.14	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	23c	630.15$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.53	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	44c	609.81$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.39	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	18c	601.14$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.12	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	22c	600$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	49c	600$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.16	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	27c	594.68$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.98	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	39c	591.42$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	68c	590$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.81	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	57c	580.76$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.56	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14db…7cafbacked Yes	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	23c	572.98$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.33	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	44c	565$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	562.9$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.68	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	79c	562.55$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.48	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	45c	559.9$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.16	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	18c	548.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	41c	544.03$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.57	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	22c	538.25$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.24	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fa…1faebacked Yes	39c	536.03$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.05	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	37c	533.83$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event