Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe291c9acd9e3437fb907c50bfb07623312fb6e92a62ac39e4beb97a7b5bba338

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $290,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $176,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	0c	10,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	9,534$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.14	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	9,428$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.39	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	7,182$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	6,550$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	5,555$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	5,134$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.56	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	4,622$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.35	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	4c	4,058$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.81	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	1c	4,024$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+231.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	3c	4,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.16	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes	0c	3,988$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	3,463$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.89	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes	5c	3,333$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	3,213$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.59	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,877$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	3c	2,700$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	15c	2,500$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.79	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	2,304$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.13	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,071$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.19	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	14c	2,063$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.2	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	7c	2,060$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.49	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	3c	2,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	7c	1,955$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.35	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	10c	1,940$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.23	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,867$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	1,639$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.16	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	1c	1,601$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	18c	1,561$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.01	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	12c	1,509$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.67	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	6c	1,499$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.16	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	3c	1,489$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.75	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,370$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	13c	1,300$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.84	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ca…dd9ebacked Yes	11c	1,273$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.5	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes	2c	1,237$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.43	133	23.3%31 W · 102 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	8c	1,200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.8	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8965…00b7backed Yes	13c	1,193$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.05	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	9c	1,155$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.73	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…1a9bbacked Yes	18c	1,129$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+122.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	4c	1,024$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	1,010$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.03	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	13c	992.48$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.54	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	8c	934.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.7	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	13c	842.51$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.94	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	7c	829.12$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	4c	795.32$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	8c	723.89$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.15	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	2c	700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	590$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	3c	553.16$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	12c	550$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.9	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	5c	525$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	6c	504.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	4c	468$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	17c	467.15$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.01	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a3…bfecbacked Yes	4c	449.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.47	55	10.9%6 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddae…52c4backed Yes	6c	441.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	13c	438$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.35	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	403.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	8c	395$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.02	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	9c	390$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	10c	360$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.94	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	6c	351.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	11c	346.53$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3949…4c45backed Yes	16c	342$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	4c	336.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37fd…6c67backed Yes	15c	335.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	29cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	9c	314.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ba…d31cbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	290.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	5c	288.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	5c	285.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ef…1faabacked Yes	9c	277.29$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.69	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+169.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1a…7d2ebacked Yes	4c	271.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	5c	256.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+102.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01da…07bebacked Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	143	20.3%29 W · 114 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+82.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcde6…040fbacked Yes	6c	248$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39c…1d84backed Yes	7c	238.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	6c	238$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	235.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6933…0f16backed Yes	5c	205$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	475	10.5%50 W · 425 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cf…c109backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x219f…dbd9backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fc…16b5backed Yes	5c	199.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	104	12.5%13 W · 91 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce46…6305backed Yes	15c	193.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	18c	170$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	9c	162.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623d…87f4backed Yes	9c	157.14$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	11c	147.2$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa137…a5e1backed Yes	7c	146.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	18c	138.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	7c	137.68$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	6cpaid	+338.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes	14c	125$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.56	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…b2ddbacked Yes	9c	124.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event