TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1aab…773b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$64.68
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.48
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.96
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.43
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$83.08
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.51
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$202.8
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$69.37
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.37
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.66
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$793.65
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.09
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.61
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$141.29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-71.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50.99
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.97
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$239.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-69.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.13
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.63
Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.98
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.58
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.07
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$49.7
United States vs. Germany: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$112.28
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+566.7%+$288.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$211.66
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$620.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.