Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f36bcb32eb74b04416fe3405966fb2dc28302a8737ddf942ede871c5f0e64d4

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $357,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,824 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	24,158$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	18,164$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.36	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Yes	1c	11,111$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+1,823.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	1c	10,847$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	6,850$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,128$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.85	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes	1c	5,610$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	5,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	3c	4,795$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.85	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	1c	3,695$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.52	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Yes	11c	3,436$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.55	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	2c	3,373$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.01	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	11c	3,000$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	3,000$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.98	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	2,747$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	11c	2,120$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.48	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	2,040$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	1,868$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.12	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes	2c	1,850$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	1,831$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.67	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,777$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.32	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	5c	1,750$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d5…46f4backed Yes	1c	1,650$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	10c	1,622$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.21	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…c97ebacked Yes	7c	1,545$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	11c	1,518$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.53	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,466$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.84	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,447$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.37	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	8c	1,426$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.23	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	9c	1,400$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.72	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	3c	1,325$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	14c	1,318$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.59	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	9c	1,300$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	1,242$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.84	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	13c	1,149$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	7c	1,110$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	4c	1,096$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.84	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5001…bc10backed Yes	15c	1,058$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.56	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x526d…3d46backed Yes	2c	1,057$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.59	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes	2c	1,032$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	1,028$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09eb…a990backed Yes	10c	1,026$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc92…cc39backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	8c	944.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.78	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1045…a02fbacked Yes	13c	941.16$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	909.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.07	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	6c	880.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.47	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	13c	871.26$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.18	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	12c	837.29$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.82	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	800$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248a…22a7backed Yes	14c	728.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	9c	699.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	7c	687.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0898…9a5bbacked Yes	10c	600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	98	15.3%15 W · 83 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes	12c	539.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.14	212	33%70 W · 142 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	13c	520.55$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.64	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd553…f8bbbacked Yes	10c	516$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+163.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	4c	507$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8268…6146backed Yes	14c	499.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+318.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…9314backed Yes	7c	496.15$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	7c	476.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	470$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7916…c9c7backed Yes	15c	466.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344d…9f15backed Yes	11c	448.47$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	5c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	428.17$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.83	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	8c	400$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	10c	399.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744a…0ea8backed Yes	8c	392.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…469cbacked Yes	13c	382.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes	11c	360.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb323…d791backed Yes	13c	318.73$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked Yes	10c	305.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3915…74b2backed Yes	7c	299.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…f5c9backed Yes	7c	299.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	5c	290.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	10c	286.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.84	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…06edbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	11c	237.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x772e…18f6backed Yes	9c	223.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	13c	220$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	13c	214.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.69	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+74.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x271f…b8ebbacked Yes	13c	207.79$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	6c	205$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9139…9b5bbacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3954…4ccabacked Yes	11c	190$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	14c	189.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event