TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6100…1c0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.91
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,660.34
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.75
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.06
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$252.48
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,358.85
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$117.23
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$248.14
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$531.69
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$527.49
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.32
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$204.35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.61
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$304.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$127.53
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+814.9%+$374.84
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$294.07
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.82
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$852.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.