South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067dae0505e39022fe8ab59e269d794b7f9d15ca2bc60bda0771313be6f7611a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5124…d922backed No | 2c | 20,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed No | 2c | 15,900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 8,735$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.6 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 6,947$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 3,451$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.31 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,139$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.25 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 66c | 1,055$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 906.94$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 821.31$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 63c | 786.1$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 344.36$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 323.03$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.77 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 31c | 316.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 288.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 48c | 241.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a4f8backed Yes | 25c | 232$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 58c | 231.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 209.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 48c | 199.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 46c | 175.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 39c | 150.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…8015backed Yes | 74c | 149.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 31c | 134.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 133.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 116.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 113.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…280bbacked No | 77c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 39c | 98.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…55e2backed Yes | 74c | 95.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 88.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 86.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…1b30backed Yes | 25c | 83.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 53c | 82.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 25c | 76.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…ca30backed Yes | 67c | 76.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 68.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…c757backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 51c | 59.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Yes | 38c | 55.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 48c | 50.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…8430backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…3265backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 45.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…bd23backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…8094backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Yes | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 33.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 48c | 28.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b31…b2a3backed No | 65c | 26.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 24.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 77c | 24.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 49c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.