TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x879b…a5df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT9072.2%65 W · 25 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.9
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$8.55
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$8.42
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.01
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.62
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.32
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.6
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.49
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$197.76
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$14.86
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.79
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.56
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.16
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Robin Montgomerybacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.27
Wimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tausonbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$34.29
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.64
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.87
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhangbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.3
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.39
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$36.45
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)backed Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+55%+$22.36
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)backed Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.18
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Set Handicap: Wu (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5)backed Boogaard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.52
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.1
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+74%+$8.65
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.58
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.83
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.37
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.67
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Marcus McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$7.98
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$70.21
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$18.29
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$65.24
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$36.06
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.9
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.