TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc249…8a61backed No38c1,386$527 inWon+$859.179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6322…ab7fbacked Yes62c778.89$485 inLost-$484.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No39c503.02$197 inWon+$306.2533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Yes62c483.87$300 inLost-$3008654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c416.45$250 inLost-$25019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No41c346.99$142 inWon+$204.7324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked No42c238.09$100 inWon+$138.0929346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes59c200$118 inLost-$11812454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Yes58c199.99$116 inLost-$1164839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No40c175$69 inWon+$105.7819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Yes62c161.47$100 inLost-$1007848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No43c101.75$44 inWon+$5885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes57c100$57 inLost-$5725657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6771…4610backed Yes58c86.21$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes62c80.97$50 inLost-$5010636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe3af…6da8backed Yes62c64.84$40 inLost-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No39c61.67$24 inWon+$37.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes57c46.51$27 inLost-$26.5156050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No43c46.51$20 inWon+$26.5166046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Yes61c40.57$25 inLost-$24.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No38c36.48$14 inWon+$22.621,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…0416backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e86…5899backed Yes60c31.67$19 inLost-$193256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes62c31$19 inLost-$19.225754.4%31 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x879b…a5dfbacked Yes59c27.12$16 inLost-$161136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x938a…e0edbacked Yes55c25$14 inLost-$13.755352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes60c25$15 inLost-$1526757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c24.15$11 inWon+$13.2833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes63c20$13 inLost-$12.59271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaaeb…22c2backed Yes62c19.35$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.