TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Over77c4,300$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.7224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under24c4,065$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9686048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under22c2,347$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.8879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over75c2,226$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under22c2,102$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over71c2,101$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.9552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under23c2,008$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c1,771$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Over75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c1,283$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under27c1,277$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over75c1,002$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.511261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under33c999$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.677950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b3…4791backed Under28c837.48$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+153.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under26c729.46$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.391,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under3c671.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1427937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over77c648$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under25c644.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0747354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c79cbacked Over70c634.93$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.48650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under30c572$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.112,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4456…de08backed Over75c554.41$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over70c530.13$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4320350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under4c519.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over77c518.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1133258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under25c460$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under26c423.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over73c408.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5721574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under26c386.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c359.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under25c356.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over60c349.81$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over77c337.09$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.093754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fb…2de9backed Over77c294.16$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.931457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under27c291.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under27c284.61$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2717848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Over75c269.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3512850.8%65 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8561…936ebacked Over75c258$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under25c244$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6143052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Over75c204.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.872050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Over77c203.91$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over68c203.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.614446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under25c197.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.929941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under30c195.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6721849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Under26c189.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Under28c175.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Over72c163$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.642254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed Under14c143.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over75c139.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.071070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under28c138.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over74c135.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1120441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over79c132.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9118853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over78c130.94$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.948952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Over76c130.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2116555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Over74c127$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.022466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Over73c126.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.113246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…19fabacked Over74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa0…5590backed Under26c122$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c119.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.021,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under25c117.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…99eebacked Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa543…9a38backed Over70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012539.2%49 W · 76 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228e…08efbacked Over72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under34c97.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Under25c94.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over75c93.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.440548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under25c91.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8526755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c89.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over66c88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Under40c87.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513021.5%28 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833d…6b3fbacked Over78c83.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under25c77.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over77c72.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7718757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.581181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under40c66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under26c62.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked Under26c61.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164057.5%23 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Over77c59.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6911352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Over68c57.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over73c57.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under30c56.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.928846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792669.2%18 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Over72c54.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.251291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over79c54.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.412254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under38c51.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.963,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x465b…1419backed Over77c51.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under31c50.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2f…6884backed Over77c49.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-40%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over74c43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.182259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over78c42.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over67c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.