TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11f8…d897backed Under31c7,564$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f13…6c78backed Over69c4,699$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.693100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c4,299$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.7624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x771a…934fbacked Over69c2,963$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under29c2,857$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.5379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over71c2,539$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.5152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c2,260$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over52c2,091$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.6120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over74c2,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c1,837$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c1,546$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c1,210$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.721,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c1,114$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under38c1,011$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under12c784.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.171,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over70c629.51$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over69c605.04$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0413757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under33c560.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.126,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under33c555$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over67c524.38$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c514.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.732,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c493.3$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over69c362.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.636956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under34c336.61$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4515644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over68c305.4$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2613759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf179…845dbacked Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under4c297.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.722334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c263$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5a…492abacked Over67c260.81$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.071369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Over66c257.83$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.713246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under34c234.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over66c227.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5820441.7%85 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over67c224.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.086347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under35c220.49$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c220.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.311,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under33c212.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c193.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Over66c192.05$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8561…936ebacked Over67c146.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c142$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over71c141.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4133258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under46c133.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under32c133.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Over78c128.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.312050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under47c122.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5815044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over54c118.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over64c107.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under30c103.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c99.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.211,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under33c83.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd5…a3a2backed Over61c82.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over66c75.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under34c72.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5124841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under37c72.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3931…734ebacked Over70c70.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under35c65.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.855444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…5590backed Under33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.76056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ead…0b4dbacked Over62c48.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c45.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over70c45.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.757451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.787561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under31c40.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.829449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e96…a089backed Over59c39.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Under34c39.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e91…fffabacked Over66c35.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…99eebacked Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce4…fae6backed Under36c29.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5751946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under46c22.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02f…c25dbacked Over74c20.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over66c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.814446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.62948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf45f…dbfdbacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.